The panel also conflicts with recent publicity summarizing a report issued by the Congressional Budget Office that the Constellation program will need "billion more" than already slated now and in the "out-years" to become viable and tests of the Ares-X1, later this year, are needed before further conclusions should be made.
The panel also does not share optimism by many that Commercial Orbital Transportation Services projects (COTS), already awarded twenty ISS cargo re-supply missions by NASA made to SpaceX and Orbital Sciences, will be able in time to perform manned missions to ISS to evade an inevitable "gap" in U.S. manned missions into Space prior to Constellation. Although cautious to admit concerns about relying on the Russian Soyuz to carry astronauts to and from ISS in the interim, the Panel cited its 40-year-record of demonstrated reliability.
Mark Matthews of The Orlando Sentinel's Right Stuff has details.
The Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel's Annual Report (pdf) can be downloaded HERE.
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